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Protect Your Unit Week 9 Picks Thread

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL: OCT 19 LSU at Mississippi State
Joe Burrow, Heisman Trophy candidate. Too bad for one of our players he didn’t stay at Ohio State.
Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

(DISCLAIMER: This game is for entertainment purposes only. No actual money is being wagered.)

First, I apologize for the certificate errors on the website. I bought a new one, but my web host is being a little slack about installing it. In the meantime, go to http://protectyouru.net rather than HTTPS. Should be fixed soon.

As promised, we will now review the other pre-season futures bets. Those are the ones on conference championships, playoffs, and the Heisman Trophy. Let’s start with that last one:

  • Clemson at +250 to have one of its players win Heisman Trophy (E-Dogg42, $15)
  • Ohio State at +850 to have one of its players win Heisman Trophy (E-Dogg42, $15)

The Heisman bet didn’t draw a lot of interest, with only one player taking a flyer on it. A win by anyone other than Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts, or Joe Burrow would be surprising, but OSU’s Justin Fields is still in the running.

  • Ohio State at +300 to qualify for 4-team playoff (E-Dogg42, $50)
  • Oklahoma at +350 to qualify for 4-team playoff (Defdans, $19)
  • Oregon at +800 to qualify for 4-team playoff (BullsOnParade96, $50)

Ohio State and Oklahoma look very likely, and Oregon is still alive if they win out. No one bet on anyone to win the national championship.

  • Cincinnati at +450 to win Conference Championship game (BullsOnParade96, $50; Danj725, $20; jrjs, $10)

Three players jumped on this line, and it looks very possible right now, though the Bearcats finish the regular season with Temple and Memphis. They can lose a game, and still win the division, unless it’s to Temple and the Owls win out.

  • Georgia at +300 to win Conference Championship game (Gym399, $50)
  • Memphis at +300 to win Conference Championship game (jrjs, $10)
  • Southern Methodist at +2500 to win Conference Championship game (defdans, $4)
  • Utah at +300 to win Conference Championship game (jrjs, $10)

These plays are all very much alive, though Memphis and SMU can’t both win the AAC. Georgia still controls its own destiny to win the SEC East. Utah needs USC to drop a game, though that seems likely.

  • Virginia Tech at +1600 to win Conference Championship game (E-dogg42, $10)
  • South Florida at +1200 to win Conference Championship game (who cares, it’s not happening)
  • Florida State at +1400 to win Conference Championship game (Defdans, $7)

Virginia Tech’s more alive than you’d think; someone has to win that mess of a division, and VT has games remaining against leaders Pitt and UVa. USF is actually more alive than FSU, since they’re still mathematically in it. For all you super-optimists out there, USF can win the division if they win out, and Cincinnati loses one additional game. Florida State needs only one more loss, or one Clemson win, to be eliminated.

So what does this all mean for the standings?

First, let’s review how the accounting works. If you made a futures bet before the season, the cost of the bet was taken out of your bankroll before Week 1. If you bet $100 on futures, you started Week 1 with $900. So if your futures bet comes up a loser, you don’t lose any additional units. The loss has already been taken out of your bankroll. If you win, the cost of the bet and the winnings are added back. So you can gain money, but not lose it.

When is the futures bet paid? Over/under win bets are paid when the team’s regular season ends, because according to the official rules, the team has to play all its games as scheduled to win the bet. Just clinching it, like defdans’ bet on Oregon State to win more than 2 games (they’ve already won 3), doesn’t pay the bet yet. I’m thinking of relaxing this rule for next season.

Other bets are paid when they are clinched, or lost when they are eliminated. Whenever Clemson wins one more game and mathematically eliminates Florida State from the division race, I’ll mark bets on Florida State to win the conference championship game as losers. Your bankroll won’t change, but the “Pending Futures” column in the Standings will decrease. Also, your Dashboard will show the bet result.

Now, can anyone disrupt the race with a big futures payoff? Here are our leading candidates:

USER FUTURES BET WAGERED POTENTIAL WIN
BullsOnParade96 Cincinnati at +450 to win Conference Championship game 50.00 225.00
BullsOnParade96 Oregon at +800 to qualify for 4-team playoff 50.00 400.00
carlzee Cincinnati to win more than 7.5 games at +120 50.00 60.00
carlzee Tulane to win more than 5.5 games at -165 25.00 15.15
Danj725 Cincinnati at +450 to win Conference Championship game 20.00 90.00
Defdans Oregon State to win more than 2.0 games at -200 24.00 12.00
Defdans Oklahoma at +350 to qualify for 4-team playoff 19.00 66.50
Defdans Southern Methodist at +2500 to win Conference Championship game 4.00 100.00
dsidwell31 Cincinnati to win more than 7.5 games at +120 100.00 120.00
E-Dogg42 Ohio State at +300 to qualify for 4-team playoff 25.00 75.00
E-Dogg42 Connecticut to win more than 2.5 games at +120 25.00 30.00
E-Dogg42 Clemson at +250 to have one of its players win Heisman Trophy 15.00 37.50
E-Dogg42 Ohio State at +850 to have one of its players win Heisman Trophy 15.00 127.50
E-Dogg42 Virginia Tech at +1600 to win Conference Championship game 10.00 160.00
gym399 Virginia to win more than 7.5 games at -120 50.00 41.67
gym399 Georgia at +300 to win Conference Championship game 50.00 150.00
HerdCountry941 Marshall to win more than 7.5 games at -110 50.00 45.45
HerdCountry941 Houston to win fewer than 7.0 games at +140 20.00 28.00
HerdCountry941 Texas to win fewer than 9.5 games at -160 10.00 6.25
jrjs Utah at +300 to win Conference Championship game 10.00 30.00
jrjs Memphis to win more than 9.5 games at -130 10.00 7.69
jrjs Memphis at +300 to win Conference Championship game 10.00 30.00
jrjs Cincinnati at +450 to win Conference Championship game 10.00 45.00
jrjs Cincinnati to win more than 7.5 games at +120 10.00 12.00

BullsOnParade96 could win a whopping $625 if Cincinnati wins the AAC and Oregon makes the four-team playoff. dsidwell31 is a near-lock for $120 on Cincinnati to win 7.5 games. Defdans has a shot at $178.50, if SMU wins the AAC. gym399 wins $150 if Georgia can still win the SEC. Danj725, currently in second, could add $90 on Cincinnati. E-Dogg42 is strong for $75 on Ohio State, and could get more. Several other players have a shot at adding $50-100 fake dollars to the bankroll. This money will get added to your bankroll before bowl season starts, so you’ll have more money to spend on the last “week” of the competition.

Who did everyone pick so far this week?

User Wager Final Score Units Result Payoff
andrewpina Southern Methodist -14.0 points over Houston; Southern California -13.0 points over Colorado (TBD,TBD) Southern Methodist 34-31; TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
andrewpina Appalachian State -26.0 points over South Alabama TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
andrewpina Buffalo -2.0 points over Central Michigan TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
andrewpina Minnesota -16.5 points over Maryland TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
andrewpina Western Kentucky +6.0 points over Marshall TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
andrewpina Texas-El Paso +850.0 money line to beat Louisiana Tech TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
briank19 Marshall -5.0 points over Western Kentucky; North Texas -4.0 points over Charlotte (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
briank19 Southern Methodist -14.0 points over Houston Southern Methodist 34-31 15.00 TBD 0.00
briank19 Appalachian State -26.0 points over South Alabama TBD 15.00 TBD 0.00
briank19 Under 63.5 points in the Bowling Green State-Western Michigan game TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
bullsonparade96 Under 57.5 points in the Illinois-Purdue game; Texas -1.0 points over Texas Christian; South Florida +1.0 points over East Carolina (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 245.00 TBD 0.00
bullsonparade96 Southern Methodist -13.5 points over Houston Southern Methodist 34-31 1.00 TBD 0.00
bullsonparade96 Connecticut -9.5 points over Massachusetts TBD 1.00 TBD 0.00
bullsonparade96 Navy -3.5 points over Tulane TBD 1.00 TBD 0.00
bullsonparade96 Temple +9.5 points over Central Florida TBD 1.00 TBD 0.00
bullsonparade96 Memphis -10.0 points over Tulsa TBD 1.00 TBD 0.00
dsidwell31 Under 63.0 points in the Connecticut-Massachusetts game; Over 51.0 points in the Wisconsin-Ohio State game; Under 51.0 points in the San Jose State-Army game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Over 52.0 points in the Appalachian State-South Alabama game; Under 49.0 points in the Liberty-Rutgers game; Auburn +12.0 points over Louisiana State (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 30.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Under 67.5 points in the Southern Methodist-Houston game; Under 63.0 points in the Bowling Green State-Western Michigan game; Under 63.5 points in the Connecticut-Massachusetts game (TBD,TBD,TBD) Southern Methodist 34-31; TBD; TBD 21.33 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Arkansas +33.5 points over Alabama; Akron +24.0 points over Northern Illinois (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Houston +14.5 points over Southern Methodist; Under 66.0 points in the Southern Methodist-Houston game (TBD,TBD) Southern Methodist 34-31; Southern Methodist 34-31 20.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Over 50.5 points in the Notre Dame-Michigan game; Under 51.5 points in the Notre Dame-Michigan game; Over 37.5 points in the California-Utah game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Under 52.0 points in the South Florida-East Carolina game; East Carolina +2.5 points over South Florida (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 California +21.5 points over Utah; UCLA +4.0 points over Arizona State; Tulsa +10.5 points over Memphis (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Under 61.0 points in the Illinois-Purdue game; Under 63.5 points in the Connecticut-Massachusetts game; Under 58.0 points in the Eastern Michigan-Toledo game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Under 54.0 points in the Tulane-Navy game; Under 57.5 points in the Syracuse-Florida State game; Under 64.0 points in the Oklahoma State-Iowa State game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Under 60.5 points in the Florida International-Middle Tennessee State game; Under 52.5 points in the Indiana-Nebraska game; Over 53.5 points in the Duke-North Carolina game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Under 63.0 points in the Southern California-Colorado game; Under 66.5 points in the Southern Methodist-Houston game (TBD,TBD) TBD; Southern Methodist 34-31 15.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Over 38.0 points in the Iowa-Northwestern game; Over 51.0 points in the Wisconsin-Ohio State game; Over 45.0 points in the San Diego State-Nevada-Las Vegas game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 14.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Under 68.5 points in the Troy-Georgia State game; Under 70.5 points in the Hawaii-New Mexico game; Under 63.5 points in the North Texas-Charlotte game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 14.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Houston +400.0 money line to beat Southern Methodist Southern Methodist 34-31 10.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Colorado +395.0 money line to beat Southern California TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 South Alabama +1250.0 money line to beat Appalachian State TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Maryland +600.0 money line to beat Minnesota TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Texas State +325.0 money line to beat Arkansas State TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Kentucky +310.0 money line to beat Missouri TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
E-dogg42 Texas-El Paso +850.0 money line to beat Louisiana Tech TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
ElliotMoore Over 38.0 points in the Iowa-Northwestern game TBD 40.00 TBD 0.00
ElliotMoore Over 51.0 points in the Wisconsin-Ohio State game TBD 40.00 TBD 0.00
ElliotMoore Penn State -5.5 points over Michigan State TBD 30.00 TBD 0.00
ElliotMoore Michigan State +6.5 points over Penn State TBD 30.00 TBD 0.00
ElliotMoore South Florida +1.0 points over East Carolina TBD 30.00 TBD 0.00
ElliotMoore Oklahoma -21.0 points over Kansas State TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
ElliotMoore Northern Illinois -23.5 points over Akron TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
GaryStephen Under 49.0 points in the South Florida-East Carolina game TBD 25.68 TBD 0.00
GAryStephen North Texas -3.5 points over Charlotte TBD 22.00 TBD 0.00
GAryStephen Memphis -10.0 points over Tulsa TBD 22.00 TBD 0.00
GAryStephen Notre Dame +2.5 points over Michigan TBD 22.00 TBD 0.00
GAryStephen Louisiana Tech -18.5 points over Texas-El Paso TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Southern Methodist -14.0 points over Houston Southern Methodist 34-31 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Pittsburgh -5.0 points over Miami (FL) TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Over 57.5 points in the Oklahoma-Kansas State game TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 San Jose State +9.5 points over Army TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Marshall -5.0 points over Western Kentucky TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Maryland +17.0 points over Minnesota TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Texas -1.0 points over Texas Christian TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Tulane +140.0 money line to beat Navy TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Memphis -10.0 points over Tulsa TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Over 50.5 points in the Notre Dame-Michigan game TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 Over 37.5 points in the California-Utah game TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
HerdCountry941 San Diego State -13.0 points over Nevada-Las Vegas TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Under 63.0 points in the Southern California-Colorado game; Western Kentucky +6.5 points over Marshall; Virginia -3.0 points over Louisville (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Under 64.5 points in the Bowling Green State-Western Michigan game; Syracuse +10.5 points over Florida State; Over 57.5 points in the Utah State-Air Force game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Over 42.0 points in the Penn State-Michigan State game; Eastern Michigan +6.0 points over Toledo; Liberty -7.0 points over Rutgers (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Over 55.5 points in the Memphis-Tulsa game; Arizona State -2.5 points over UCLA; Fresno State -13.5 points over Colorado State (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Auburn +12.0 points over Louisiana State; Army -9.0 points over San Jose State; Over 57.5 points in the Illinois-Purdue game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs North Texas -3.5 points over Charlotte; Over 51.5 points in the Tulane-Navy game; Texas Tech -3.0 points over Kansas (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Over 57.5 points in the Illinois-Purdue game; Western Kentucky +6.0 points over Marshall; Eastern Michigan +5.0 points over Toledo (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Over 51.5 points in the Tulane-Navy game; Over 43.5 points in the Penn State-Michigan State game; Auburn +12.0 points over Louisiana State (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Over 56.5 points in the Memphis-Tulsa game; North Texas -3.5 points over Charlotte; Army -9.0 points over San Jose State (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Syracuse +10.5 points over Florida State; Texas Tech -3.0 points over Kansas; Fresno State -14.0 points over Colorado State (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Houston +14.5 points over Southern Methodist; Bowling Green State +27.5 points over Western Michigan; Kansas State +24.0 points over Oklahoma (TBD,TBD,TBD) Southern Methodist 34-31; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
jrjs Kansas State +24.0 points over Oklahoma; Under 70.0 points in the Hawaii-New Mexico game; Memphis -10.0 points over Tulsa (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
mcintyre2k7 Over 59.0 points in the Oklahoma-Kansas State game; Over 55.5 points in the Memphis-Tulsa game; Over 61.0 points in the Texas Tech-Kansas game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 140.00 TBD 0.00
mcintyre2k7 Over 61.5 points in the Boston College-Clemson game; Over 61.0 points in the Texas Tech-Kansas game; Over 57.5 points in the Arkansas-Alabama game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
mcintyre2k7 Over 59.0 points in the Oklahoma-Kansas State game; Over 49.0 points in the South Florida-East Carolina game; Over 57.5 points in the Arkansas-Alabama game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
mcintyre2k7 Over 49.0 points in the South Florida-East Carolina game; Alabama -33.0 points over Arkansas (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
mcintyre2k7 South Florida +1.0 points over East Carolina TBD 5.00 TBD 0.00
mcintyre2k7 East Carolina +1.0 points over South Florida TBD 5.00 TBD 0.00
mmmmsnouts Over 52.0 points in the Virginia-Louisville game TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
mmmmsnouts South Carolina -4.0 points over Tennessee TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
mmmmsnouts Pittsburgh -5.0 points over Miami (FL) TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
mmmmsnouts Louisiana State -10.0 points over Auburn TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
mmmmsnouts East Carolina +120.0 money line to beat South Florida TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Over 38.0 points in the Iowa-Northwestern game; Over 42.0 points in the Penn State-Michigan State game; Over 38.5 points in the California-Utah game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 80.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Under 68.5 points in the Troy-Georgia State game; Under 70.5 points in the Hawaii-New Mexico game; Under 66.5 points in the Southern Methodist-Houston game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; Southern Methodist 34-31 40.00 TBD 0.00
speruche South Alabama +25.5 points over Appalachian State; Bowling Green State +26.0 points over Western Michigan; Over 38.5 points in the California-Utah game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 40.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Southern Mississippi -12.5 points over Rice; Under 64.5 points in the Bowling Green State-Western Michigan game; Southern California -12.5 points over Colorado (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 40.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Over 57.5 points in the Arkansas-Alabama game; Alabama -33.0 points over Arkansas; Central Florida -8.5 points over Temple (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 40.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Oregon -13.5 points over Washington State; Fresno State -13.5 points over Colorado State; Over 46.5 points in the Akron-Northern Illinois game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 40.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Arkansas State -11.0 points over Texas State; Hawaii -9.0 points over New Mexico; Under 59.0 points in the Auburn-Louisiana State game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 40.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Purdue -9.0 points over Illinois; Iowa -9.0 points over Northwestern; Army -9.0 points over San Jose State (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 40.00 TBD 0.00
speruche South Florida +1.0 points over East Carolina; Over 49.0 points in the South Florida-East Carolina game (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 20.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Louisville +150.0 money line to beat Virginia TBD 15.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Houston +13.5 points over Southern Methodist Southern Methodist 34-31 10.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Western Kentucky +180.0 money line to beat Marshall TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Duke +155.0 money line to beat North Carolina TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
speruche UCLA +155.0 money line to beat Arizona State TBD 10.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Miami (FL) +200.0 money line to beat Pittsburgh TBD 9.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Utah State +145.0 money line to beat Air Force TBD 8.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Houston +475.0 money line to beat Southern Methodist Southern Methodist 34-31 5.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Colorado +425.0 money line to beat Southern California TBD 5.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Illinois +290.0 money line to beat Purdue TBD 5.00 TBD 0.00
speruche Auburn +340.0 money line to beat Louisiana State TBD 5.00 TBD 0.00
ULhothot Navy -3.5 points over Tulane; Penn State -5.5 points over Michigan State; Pittsburgh -5.0 points over Miami (FL) (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 100.00 TBD 0.00
ULhothot Oklahoma -21.0 points over Kansas State; Ohio State -14.0 points over Wisconsin (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
ULhothot Pittsburgh -5.0 points over Miami (FL) TBD 50.00 TBD 0.00
ULhothot Penn State -5.5 points over Michigan State TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00
ULhothot Navy -3.5 points over Tulane TBD 25.00 TBD 0.00

You know the drill: use this space to talk about your picks, this week’s games, the competition, or anything else!