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Protect Your Unit Week 5 Picks Thread

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: NOV 18 The Citadel at Clemson
Oh, no, not again.
Photo by Doug Buffington/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

(DISCLAIMER: This game is for entertainment purposes only. No actual money is being wagered.)

First, the new cancelled games prop bet is attracting some action! There has only been one cancellation as of noon Friday (Troy-South Alabama), so the line has moved from 5.5 to 4.5 to 3.5. The amount will always include a fraction, because I didn’t introduce prop bets jus t so we can have more pushes. I plan to implement more little prop bets like this one as the season goes on. If you have any ideas or wants, let me know!

The discussion in last week’s Picks thread raised some valid questions about how this bet neds to be handled. speruche pointed out that a player could wait until the late games kicked off, and place a bet at a time when time the number of cancellations would be known. For this reason, this bet will not be available after noon ET on Saturday. That is the “kickoff time” for this prop bet. Also, the house (me) can always move lines, as above.

Second, some of the early week game lines were a bit dodgy. This is because the real-life data I use to formulate the lines was itself dodgy. East Carolina-Georgia State was a major offender. For example, look at the real-life line histories here and notice how much they jump around. The point spread goes from 1 to 6 and back, never stopping in between. The over/under jumps between 61 and 69. Money lines fluctuate similarly.

By rule, bets on erroneous lines can be disallowed. But official rule #14.5.1 is: In general, if a line can be found in the line history of a real casino at least twice - they published it and did not immediately correct it - it will be considered valid. Because these more favorable lines on ECU-GSU and other games make multiple appearances in real-life offerings by multiple providers, I can’t justify disallowing PYU plays on them. So those of you who jumped on Central Florida over 51, or any other lines you might have thought were suspect, will get to play them. I’ll watch the lines more closely going forward. Some of my website’s internal mechanisms are still being fixed up from the offseason crash.

An up-to-date list of everyone’s picks can be seen at the usual place, http://protectyouru.net/pyu/weekly_picks.php. I’m also working on updating the historical CSV file of picks; should have that ready for download soon.

This week’s picks:

User Wager Final Score Units Result Payoff
bullsonparade96 North Texas -1.0 points over Southern Mississippi; Under 70.0 points in the East Carolina-Georgia State game; East Carolina +7.0 points over Georgia State (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 248.00
bullsonparade96 South Florida +1300.0 money line to beat Cincinnati TBD 1.00
bullsonparade96 Under 5.5 points in the COVID-19-Number of Games Cancelled game TBD 1.00
Danj725 Over 54.0 points in the South Carolina-Florida game TBD 25.00
Danj725 Cincinnati -21.5 points over South Florida TBD 25.00
Danj725 Under 5.5 points in the COVID-19-Number of Games Cancelled game TBD 25.00
Danj725 Over 68.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game TBD 25.00
Danj725 Under 51.0 points in the Navy-Air Force game TBD 10.00
Danj725 Over 56.0 points in the Virginia-Clemson game TBD 10.00
Danj725 Tulsa +850.0 money line to beat Central Florida TBD 1.00
E-dogg42 Under 69.5 points in the Arkansas-Mississippi State game; Under 72.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game; Under 74.5 points in the Memphis-Southern Methodist game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 35.00
E-dogg42 Over 39.0 points in the South Florida-Cincinnati game; Under 73.0 points in the Southern Mississippi-North Texas game (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 25.00
E-dogg42 Over 51.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game; Under 68.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 25.00
E-dogg42 Under 5.5 points in the COVID-19-Number of Games Cancelled game TBD 25.00
E-dogg42 Under 51.5 points in the South Florida-Cincinnati game; South Florida +21.5 points over Cincinnati (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 15.00
E-dogg42 Virginia Tech -10.5 points over Duke; Kentucky -6.0 points over Mississippi (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 15.00
E-dogg42 Over 58.5 points in the East Carolina-Georgia State game; Under 70.0 points in the East Carolina-Georgia State game (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 14.00
E-dogg42 Over 43.5 points in the Auburn-Georgia game; Virginia +30.5 points over Clemson (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 13.00
E-dogg42 Arkansas State -3.5 points over Coastal Carolina; Under 64.5 points in the Arkansas State-Coastal Carolina game (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 12.00
E-dogg42 Over 48.5 points in the North Carolina State-Pittsburgh game; Under 59.5 points in the Texas Christian-Texas game (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 12.00
E-dogg42 Texas Tech +3.5 points over Kansas State TBD 12.00
E-dogg42 Campbell +35.0 points over Wake Forest; Louisiana Tech +24.0 points over Brigham Young (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 10.00
E-dogg42 Under 58.0 points in the Mississippi-Kentucky game; Under 52.5 points in the Virginia Tech-Duke game (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 10.00
E-dogg42 Kentucky -6.5 points over Mississippi; Troy -5.5 points over South Alabama (TBD,VOID) TBD; South Alabama 0-0 10.00
E-dogg42 South Carolina +18.5 points over Florida; North Carolina State +14.0 points over Pittsburgh (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 10.00
E-dogg42 Under 51.5 points in the South Florida-Cincinnati game TBD 7.00
ElliotMoore Louisiana State -20.0 points over Vanderbilt TBD 40.00
ElliotMoore Over 48.0 points in the Missouri-Tennessee game; Under 73.0 points in the Southern Mississippi-North Texas game (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 30.00
ElliotMoore Alabama -17.5 points over Texas A&M TBD 20.00
ElliotMoore South Florida +21.5 points over Cincinnati TBD 15.00
ElliotMoore Tulsa +850.0 money line to beat Central Florida TBD 15.00
ElliotMoore Auburn +200.0 money line to beat Georgia TBD 15.00
ElliotMoore Over 58.5 points in the East Carolina-Georgia State game TBD 10.00
ElliotMoore Under 70.0 points in the East Carolina-Georgia State game TBD 10.00
ElliotMoore Under 5.5 points in the COVID-19-Number of Games Cancelled game TBD 10.00
ElliotMoore Duke +10.5 points over Virginia Tech TBD 10.00
Gibbsak Over 54.0 points in the South Carolina-Florida game; Florida -21.0 points over South Carolina (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 25.00
Gibbsak Over 72.0 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game; Over 53.5 points in the Baylor-West Virginia game; Over 62.5 points in the Texas Christian-Texas game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 25.00
Gibbsak East Carolina +7.0 points over Georgia State TBD 25.00
Gibbsak Over 5.5 points in the COVID-19-Number of Games Cancelled game TBD 25.00
Gibbsak Georgia State +1.0 points over East Carolina TBD 10.00
jrjs Oklahoma State -17.0 points over Kansas; East Carolina +7.0 points over Georgia State; Over 58.5 points in the East Carolina-Georgia State game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 25.00
jrjs Under 65.0 points in the Oklahoma State-Kansas game; Under 51.5 points in the South Florida-Cincinnati game; Over 51.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 25.00
jrjs Over 51.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game; Over 58.5 points in the East Carolina-Georgia State game; East Carolina +7.0 points over Georgia State (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 25.00
jrjs Oklahoma State -17.0 points over Kansas; Under 65.0 points in the Oklahoma State-Kansas game; Under 51.5 points in the South Florida-Cincinnati game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 25.00
LrdNorman Southern Methodist +3.0 points over Memphis TBD 25.00
LrdNorman Southern Methodist +120.0 money line to beat Memphis TBD 25.00
LrdNorman South Florida +22.5 points over Cincinnati TBD 25.00
LrdNorman South Florida +1300.0 money line to beat Cincinnati TBD 25.00
LrdNorman Over 46.0 points in the South Florida-Cincinnati game TBD 25.00
McIntyre2K7 Over 54.0 points in the South Carolina-Florida game; Over 51.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game; Over 50.5 points in the Louisiana State-Vanderbilt game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 100.00
McIntyre2K7 Over 62.5 points in the Oklahoma-Iowa State game; Over 54.0 points in the South Carolina-Florida game; Over 56.0 points in the Louisiana Tech-Brigham Young game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 30.00
McIntyre2K7 Over 56.0 points in the Louisiana Tech-Brigham Young game; Over 45.5 points in the Georgia Southern-Louisiana-Monroe game; Over 51.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 30.00
McIntyre2K7 Over 53.5 points in the Texas A&M-Alabama game; Over 48.0 points in the Missouri-Tennessee game; Over 54.0 points in the South Carolina-Florida game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 30.00
McIntyre2K7 Over 51.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game; Under 68.5 points in the Tulsa-Central Florida game; Over 43.5 points in the Auburn-Georgia game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00
McIntyre2K7 Over 58.5 points in the Louisiana Tech-Brigham Young game; Over 62.5 points in the Texas Christian-Texas game; Over 63.5 points in the Texas Tech-Kansas State game (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 20.00
ULhothot Baylor -3.0 points over West Virginia; Oklahoma State -17.0 points over Kansas; Mississippi +6.5 points over Kentucky (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 70.00
ULhothot North Carolina -11.0 points over Boston College; Alabama-Birmingham -20.0 points over Texas-San Antonio; Louisiana Tech +24.0 points over Brigham Young (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 60.00
ULhothot Oklahoma State -17.0 points over Kansas; Virginia Tech -10.5 points over Duke; Virginia +30.5 points over Clemson (TBD,TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD; TBD 55.00
ULhothot Oklahoma State -17.0 points over Kansas TBD 55.00
ULhothot Virginia Tech -10.5 points over Duke TBD 55.00
ULhothot Virginia +1800.0 money line to beat Clemson TBD 7.52
undercoverbull Campbell +35.0 points over Wake Forest; Louisiana Tech +24.0 points over Brigham Young (TBD,TBD) TBD; TBD 30.00

As always, use the comment section here to talk about the game, gambling in general, this weekend’s action, or whatever’s on your mind!