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(DISCLAIMER: This game is for entertainment purposes only. No actual money is being wagered.)
An over-under or “total” bet is a wager on the total number of points a game, with no regard to who wins or loses, or who scores the points. In this space last week, I speculated that Connecticut scores more “under” results than average.
Curious, I checked this against the PYU database (Come on, Emma!) and found... they are, but not exceptionally so. Since 2013, UConn games have hit the “over” score 23 times, and the “under” score 30 times, meaning they go under 57.7% of the time. In sports gambling, you only have to be right 52.38% of the time to beat the standard house edge of -110. So if you bet the under on UConn every single game, you’d have money in your pocket. This ranks UConn only 30th among the most “under” teams, so perhaps there is an edge for a skillfull fake gambler to exploit.
What are the most “over” and “under” teams in the PYU database?
OVER
| Team | Over | Under | Push or Split |
| Alabama-Birmingham | 18 | 10 | 1 |
| New Mexico State | 31 | 18 | 5 |
| Ohio State | 38 | 23 | 1 |
| Air Force | 32 | 20 | 4 |
| Texas Tech | 29 | 19 | 5 |
| Nevada-Las Vegas | 30 | 20 | 2 |
| Oklahoma | 33 | 23 | 4 |
| Western Kentucky | 33 | 23 | 2 |
| Arizona | 31 | 22 | 3 |
| Tulsa | 33 | 24 | 1 |
UAB’s “over” tendencies are from before the program went on hiatus; they’ve gone over in 3 of 7 games this season. Also, this list excludes Coastal Carolina, which has gone “over” in 6 of their 7 games we have over-under lines for. So New Mexico State might be a fairer #1.
UNDER
| Team | Over | Under | Push or Split |
| Central Michigan | 18 | 35 | 2 |
| Texas | 20 | 37 | 1 |
| Kansas | 18 | 32 | 2 |
| Duke | 20 | 35 | 1 |
| Nevada | 19 | 33 | 3 |
| Georgia State | 17 | 29 | 6 |
| Syracuse | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| Akron | 19 | 31 | 3 |
| Houston | 21 | 34 | 1 |
| Cincinnati | 21 | 33 | 1 |
Cincinnati and Houston are among the 10 most “under” teams, and Temple is 11th. Navy is 29th, and UConn is 30th. On the “over” end of the scale, Tulsa is 10th, SMU 13th, and East Carolina 20th. Tulane (23-28), USF (24-29), Central Florida (24-28), Memphis (28-27) come down near the middle.
Selections as of 7:30 AM 8 PM Friday:
| USER | WAGER | UNITS |
| andrewpina | Toledo -8.5 points over Northern Illinois | 100.00 |
| andrewpina | Tulane -5.5 points over Cincinnati | 50.00 |
| andrewpina | Kentucky -3.5 points over Mississippi | 50.00 |
| andrewpina | Florida Atlantic -7.5 points over Marshall | 50.00 |
| andrewpina | Kansas +260.0 money line to beat Baylor | 30.00 |
| BrianMartin | Penn State -8.0 points over Michigan State | 50.00 |
| BrianMartin | Syracuse +200.0 money line to beat Florida State | 50.00 |
| BrianMartin | Central Florida -14.0 points over Southern Methodist | 50.00 |
| BrianMartin | Oregon +650.0 money line to beat Washington | 50.00 |
| BrianMartin | East Carolina +1400.0 money line to beat Houston | 10.00 |
| carlzee | Central Florida -14.0 points over Southern Methodist | 70.00 |
| carlzee | Miami (FL) +125.0 money line to beat Virginia Tech | 50.00 |
| carlzee | Over 44.5 points in the South Carolina-Georgia game | 40.00 |
| carlzee | Over 59.5 points in the Iowa State-West Virginia game | 40.00 |
| carlzee | Connecticut +23.5 points over South Florida | 30.00 |
| carlzee | Under 61.0 points in the Iowa State-West Virginia game | 27.00 |
| Defdans | Maryland -2.5 points over Rutgers | 20.00 |
| Defdans | Louisiana State +1000.0 money line to beat Alabama | 20.00 |
| Defdans | Over 50.5 points in the San Diego State-San Jose State game | 15.00 |
| dsidwell31 | Connecticut +23.5 points over South Florida | 50.00 |
| dsidwell31 | Clemson -7.5 points over North Carolina State | 50.00 |
| EastCoastBull | South Florida -23.5 points over Connecticut | 100.00 |
| EastCoastBull | Houston -24.5 points over East Carolina | 50.00 |
| EastCoastBull | Southern Methodist +15.5 points over Central Florida | 50.00 |
| ElliotMoore | Southern Methodist +475.0 money line to beat Central Florida | 40.00 |
| ElliotMoore | Western Michigan -3.5 points over Central Michigan | 40.00 |
| ElliotMoore | South Carolina +24.5 points over Georgia | 40.00 |
| ElliotMoore | Cincinnati +6.0 points over Tulane | 40.00 |
| ElliotMoore | Virginia Tech -2.0 points over Miami (FL) | 40.00 |
| ElliotMoore | Wake Forest +450.0 money line to beat Notre Dame | 40.00 |
| GaryStephen | Connecticut +23.5 points over South Florida | 75.00 |
| GaryStephen | Memphis -11.5 points over Tulsa | 50.00 |
| GaryStephen | Kentucky -170.0 money line to beat Mississippi | 34.00 |
| GaryStephen | Arkansas -23.0 points over Coastal Carolina | 30.00 |
| GaryStephen | Kansas +9.0 points over Baylor | 25.00 |
| GaryStephen | California -7.0 points over Oregon State | 20.00 |
| jjlovecub | East Carolina +24.5 points over Houston | 77.00 |
| jjlovecub | Indiana +14.5 points over Wisconsin | 77.00 |
| jjlovecub | Penn State -8.0 points over Michigan State | 77.00 |
| mcgies852 | Over 75.0 points in the Central Florida-Southern Methodist game | 75.00 |
| mcgies852 | Over 64.5 points in the South Florida-Connecticut game | 75.00 |
| mcgies852 | North Carolina State +8.0 points over Clemson | 75.00 |
| mcgies852 | Florida +3.5 points over Missouri | 75.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Memphis -425.0 money line to beat Tulsa | 100.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Kansas State +145.0 money line to beat Texas Tech | 50.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Western Kentucky +330.0 money line to beat Vanderbilt | 30.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Indiana +400.0 money line to beat Wisconsin | 20.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Rutgers +130.0 money line to beat Maryland | 10.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Texas A&M +525.0 money line to beat Auburn | 10.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Connecticut +23.5 points over South Florida | 10.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Illinois +475.0 money line to beat Purdue | 10.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | Massachusetts +28.0 points over Mississippi State | 10.00 |
| McIntyre2K7 | East Carolina +1400.0 money line to beat Houston | 10.00 |
| ucscott | Over 78.5 points in the Memphis-Tulsa game | 55.00 |
| ucscott | Tulane -5.0 points over Cincinnati | 55.00 |
| ucscott | Central Florida -14.0 points over Southern Methodist | 35.00 |
| ucscott | Over 64.0 points in the South Florida-Connecticut game | 35.00 |
| ucscott | Over 72.5 points in the Central Florida-Southern Methodist game | 35.00 |
| ucscott | Michigan State +295.0 money line to beat Penn State | 15.00 |
| ucscott | Florida +155.0 money line to beat Missouri | 15.00 |
| ucscott | Louisiana State +1000.0 money line to beat Alabama | 5.00 |
| ULhothot | Notre Dame -13.5 points over Wake Forest | 110.00 |
| ULhothot | Navy -8.0 points over Temple | 77.00 |
| ULhothot | Northern Illinois +290.0 money line to beat Toledo | 13.00 |
PARLAY: ULHothot, $50, Navy -8, Notre Dame -13.5
Use the space below to talk about this week’s games.